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Original Article | ONLINE FIRST

Statistical Model for Prediction of Hearing Loss in Patients Receiving Cisplatin Chemotherapy

Andrew Johnson, BS; Sergey Tarima, PhD; Stuart Wong, MD; David R. Friedland, MD, PhD; Christina L. Runge, PhD
JAMA Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2013;139(3):256-264. doi:10.1001/jamaoto.2013.1713.
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Importance  This statistical model might be used to predict cisplatin-induced hearing loss, particularly in patients undergoing concomitant radiotherapy.

Objective  To create a statistical model based on pretreatment hearing thresholds to provide an individual probability for hearing loss from cisplatin therapy and, secondarily, to investigate the use of hearing classification schemes as predictive tools for hearing loss.

Design  Retrospective case-control study.

Setting  Tertiary care medical center.

Participants  A total of 112 subjects receiving chemotherapy and audiometric evaluation were evaluated for the study. Of these subjects, 31 met inclusion criteria for analysis.

Main Outcome Measures  The primary outcome measurement was a statistical model providing the probability of hearing loss following the use of cisplatin chemotherapy.

Results  Fifteen of the 31 subjects had significant hearing loss following cisplatin chemotherapy. American Academy of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Society and Gardner-Robertson hearing classification schemes revealed little change in hearing grades between pretreatment and posttreatment evaluations for subjects with or without hearing loss. The Chang hearing classification scheme could effectively be used as a predictive tool in determining hearing loss with a sensitivity of 73.33%. Pretreatment hearing thresholds were used to generate a statistical model, based on quadratic approximation, to predict hearing loss (C statistic = 0.842, cross-validated = 0.835). The validity of the model improved when only subjects who received concurrent head and neck irradiation were included in the analysis (C statistic = 0.91). A calculated cutoff of 0.45 for predicted probability has a cross-validated sensitivity and specificity of 80%.

Conclusions and Relevance  Pretreatment hearing thresholds can be used as a predictive tool for cisplatin-induced hearing loss, particularly with concomitant radiotherapy.

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Figures

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Figure 1. Hearing classification schemes separated based on cisplatin-induced hearing loss. A, American Academy of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Society (AAO-HNS) scale.27 B, Gardner-Robertson scale.28 C, Chang evaluation scheme.25 All 3 classification schemes were used. All graphs on the left side of the overall figure represent the pretreatment and posttreatment grades for subjects without cisplatin-induced hearing loss. Those on the right side represent those with cisplatin-induced hearing loss.

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Figure 2. Analysis of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves using the 3 variables (intercept, slope, and quadratic term) that were derived from quadratic analysis among all subjects.

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Figure 3. Example of the modified audiogram automatically generated following entry of the subject's hearing thresholds into the macros program. The hearing thresholds are recorded over the natural log (ln) of the frequencies, with a polynomial quadratic approximation (Poly) fit to the data.

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